Intelligence reports
QAP assessments, strategic intelligence briefs, country analysis, conflict monitoring, and decision-support products.
Global Security Analytics Portfolio
I am M. Nuri Shakoor, a global security analyst and geopolitical risk intelligence consultant. This portfolio brings together decision-grade assessments, data stories, geospatial analysis, OSINT investigations, and applied analytic tools.
00 / Live work
A working directory of the products, channels, and publications that carry the Quanta Analytica Process™ into practice, each summarized so you know what you are opening before you open it.
Exception based monitoring of conflict and political risk across priority African states and their regional spillover.
Open consolePublic dashboard holding the Fragile States Index, Bertelsmann Transformation Index, and V-Dem as three independent lenses on fragility and governance, not a single fused score.
Open dashboardNewsletter and briefing hub for ARAC International's editorial output on conflict, governance, and security risk.
Read the newsletterDisplacement risk console built on IOM DTM data, tracking where population movement pressure is changing and what it may indicate for humanitarian access and stability.
Open consoleDirectory of custom GPT assistants prompt engineered under MNS Consulting across geopolitical risk, information integrity, and applied analytic tradecraft.
View directoryA free ARAC International public education initiative that helps readers reason about information rather than telling them what to think.
Visit THINKA QAP data story examining the gap between formal state fragility indicators and observed conditions on the ground.
Read the reportFirst generation build of the global stability indicator dashboard, presented as a standalone analytic tool.
Open toolStructured QAP v2.0 intelligence production environment with analyst-controlled AI assistance across 14 assessment sections, RAPITIS and WSI source scoring, ACH, Key Assumptions Check, Five Whys, scenarios, indicators and warnings, report audit, and approval-gated export.
Open the workbenchEvidence-based, analyst-controlled CARVER vulnerability and risk assessment workbench for asset and DBT analysis, deterministic CARVER scoring, likelihood and impact analysis, risk registers, countermeasures, analytics, and auditable AI-assisted review.
Open the CARVER LabMulti-model QAP starter environment for evidence-file analysis, source-linked structured analytic techniques, AI-assisted report development, analyst review, and approval-gated export.
Open the SAT workbenchA working risk register application structured on the ISO 31000:2018 risk management framework for identifying, scoring, and tracking risk.
Open toolAn early exploration tool for navigating Varieties of Democracy indicators across countries and years.
Open toolAn annual global security assessment surveying conflict trends, fragility, and risk conditions across regions.
Read the reportAn interactive dashboard built on the World Bank's Worldwide Governance Indicators for cross country governance comparison.
Open dashboardACLED powered Conflict Signal Watch Workbench for ARAC International independent research.
Open applicationInteractive analyst training environment for structured analytic tradecraft, QAP workflows, scenario-based exercises, and applied skills development.
Open training platformMonitoring workspace for current global security events, conflict signals, priority developments, and watchlist-driven risk awareness.
Open watchfloorAI-assisted analytic workspace supporting evidence-grounded research, structured reasoning, QAP analysis, and analyst decision-support workflows.
Open Quanta AISearchable repository for Africa Conflict Risk Watch reports, Strategic Intelligence Briefings, Flashpoints & Frameworks newsletters, and major intelligence products.
Open repositoryConsolidated hub for the ARAC International YouTube channel and other professional and organizational links.
View channels01 / Selected work
The first publication set is being prepared. Each entry will include enough analytic framing, sourcing, method, and limitations to stand on its own.
QAP assessments, strategic intelligence briefs, country analysis, conflict monitoring, and decision-support products.
Visual narratives, interactive maps, documented datasets, and reproducible analytic investigations.
Interactive dashboards with analytic context, source declarations, and interpretation guidance.
Purpose-built applications for structured analysis, CARVER assessment, risk registers, OSINT signal review, and QAP framework navigation.
02 / Method
QAP is a structured workflow for moving from an uncertain question to a traceable analytic judgment. It integrates evidence discipline, formal analytic techniques, calibrated confidence, and reproducible production.
Architecture before narrative. Structured reasoning precedes generative output.
Web-sourced information is assessed for reliability, credibility, relevance, and corroboration.
Substantive claims connect to cited evidence, clearly labeled inference, or explicit assumptions.
Confidence language remains proportionate to the quality, consistency, and coverage of available evidence.
Formal methods test assumptions, competing explanations, causal mechanisms, indicators, and scenarios.
Data preparation, methodology, sources, and limitations are documented at the product level.
03 / About
My work examines how conflict dynamics, governance conditions, institutional capacity, human security, and information environments interact. The objective is practical: help decision-makers distinguish signal from noise, understand causal structure, and act with a clearer view of uncertainty.
Published work in this portfolio is intended to be transparent about sources, methods, assumptions, and limitations. It represents independent analytic judgment and does not state the official position of any partner or client organization.
04 / Connect
For background, current initiatives, and professional links, visit my primary site or consolidated profile.